How many Leafs will be delivered in US this year ?

I think all of us who are in the initial rollout areas would be very interested in finding out how many Leafs will be actually delivered in December. Production starts in October according to the newest press release.

1. Nissan promised Project EV that they will sell about 1000 cars in each of the 5 areas. That is 5,000 cars. But there is no indication that all those will be delivered in December.

2. Production numbers have been quoted as 50K per year. This would be about 4,000 / month. This would indicate about 24,000 by Mar 2011.

3. But the production till Mar ‘2011 has been quoted as 12,000 or 19,000 (mainly in the Leaf “sold out” in first year stories). This would mean about 2,000 or 3,000 per month.

Let us say cars manufactured till Dec ’15 can be sold before the end of the year. That would be 5,000 to 10,000 cars. If we assume 50% of the cars will come to US – we can expect from a low of 2,500 to a high of 5,000 cars delivered to us before the end of the year.


~ by evnow on June 14, 2010.

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